India is currently facing its driest August in over a century, with minimal rainfall expected to continue in large areas. According to weather department officials, the El Niño weather pattern is partly responsible for the lack of rainfall. This low rainfall could have a negative impact on yields of summer-sown crops, such as rice and soybeans, leading to higher prices and overall food inflation.
The monsoon, which delivers around 70% of the country’s required rainfall, is crucial for India’s $3-trillion economy. However, the southern, western, and central parts of the country are currently facing a significant deficit in rainfall for the month. Current projections suggest that India will receive less than 180 mm (7 inches) of rainfall in August, the lowest since records began in 1901.
The India Meteorological Department is expected to announce official rainfall totals and September forecasts at the end of August or beginning of September. So far, only 90.7 mm (3.6 inches) of rainfall has occurred in the first 17 days of August, which is nearly 40% below the normal average of 254.9 mm (10 inches).
While some regions may see improvement in monsoon rainfall over the next two weeks, dry conditions are likely to persist in northwestern and southern states. The prolonged dry spell, particularly in southern India, is attributed to the impact of the El Niño weather pattern. This lack of rainfall has resulted in extremely low soil moisture, which could hinder crop growth and lead to reduced yields.
Farmers in India heavily rely on summer rains for irrigation, as nearly half of the country’s farmland lacks irrigation systems. Therefore, the lack of rainfall is a significant concern for agricultural production and food security in the country.
In conclusion, India is currently experiencing a historic drought in August, with minimal rainfall expected to continue in many areas. The El Niño weather pattern is partly to blame for the lack of rainfall, which could negatively impact crop yields and lead to higher food prices. The India Meteorological Department is closely monitoring the situation and will provide updates on rainfall totals and forecasts in the coming weeks. The prolonged dry spell is a major concern for farmers who rely on summer rains for irrigation, highlighting the need for sustainable water management systems in the country.
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